Precipitation anomaly (deviations from the 1895-2011 average, inches) for annual (black), winter (blue), spring (green), summer (red), and fall (orange), for the Southwest U.S. Dashed lines indicate the best fit by minimizing the chi-square error statistic. Based on a new gridded version of COOP data from the National Climatic Data Center, the CDDv2 data set (R. Vose, personal communication, July 27, 2012). Note that the annual time series is on a unique scale. Trends are not statistically significant for any season.